股票市场中的套索增强与线性预测

Lassoed boosting and linear prediction in the equities market

Econometric Reviews · 2024
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

提出一种两阶段线性回归方法:先用套索筛选变量,再用最小二乘增强重新估计系数。模拟显示其性能与松弛套索相当且模型更稀疏,在股票收益预测中均方预测误差最小。

Abstract

We consider a two-stage estimation method for linear regression. First, it uses the lasso in Tibshirani to screen variables and, second, re-estimates the coefficients using the least-squares boosting method in Friedman on every set of selected variables. Based on the large-scale simulation experiment in Hastie, Tibshirani, and Tibshirani, lassoed boosting performs as well as the relaxed lasso in Meinshausen and, under certain scenarios, can yield a sparser model. Applied to predicting equity returns, lassoed boosting gives the smallest mean-squared prediction error compared to several other methods.

线性预测变量筛选股票收益预测