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风险自适应的局部决策规则

Risk-Adaptive Local Decision Rules

Operations Research · 2024
被引 1
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

开发了透明且可解释的决策规则,帮助管理者理解数据与决策的关系,在组合优化问题中实现平均1%的相对次优性差距,即使面对分布偏移也能保证近优性。

Abstract

The decision rules developed in this paper help managers recognize relationships between data and decisions and prescribe courses of actions that are guaranteed near-optimal as well as transparent and interpretable. Transparency and interpretability are prerequisites for any decision support tool that needs to be conveyed, understood, and justified broadly. An understanding of the relationship between data and decisions is important for managers as they identify the critical factors, prioritize their focus, guide the resource allocation, and develop mitigation strategies for handling data uncertainty. The relationship between data and decision can be especially convoluted for combinatorial optimization problems. We consider simple decisions rules that ensure transparency and interpretability, but also allow nearly any continuous decision rule within a unified framework of analysis. Our preferred adaptive minimum decision rule prescribes decisions with 1% relative suboptimality gap, on average, even when facing distributional shifts in out-of-sample testing.

运筹学决策科学人工智能数学计算机科学