Externalizing rescue operations at sea: The migration deal between Italy and Libya
研究了2017年意大利与利比亚的移民协议如何将搜救外包给利比亚海岸警卫队，导致其巡逻区域致命事件增加，并促使移民路线转向西地中海。
Abstract Between 2010 and 2019, the global number of forcibly displaced individuals doubled, prompting countries to sign migration deals. Under these agreements, transit or origin countries halt migrants in exchange for support. The 2017 Italy–Libya deal outsourced search and rescue operations in the Central Mediterranean to the Libyan Coast Guard (LCG), aiming to stop migrants from reaching Italy. Using a spatial difference-in-differences design, we find an increase in the probability of observing a deadly incident in areas patrolled by the LCG post-deal. Descriptive evidence suggests a shift in routes, diverting a significant portion of migration to the Western Mediterranean Route.