危机情境与危机决策:两次难民危机中德国与匈牙利的比较

Crisis situation and crisis policymaking: a comparison of Germany and Hungary in two refugee crises

Journal of European Public Policy · 2024
被引 4
ABS 3

中文导读

比较2015-16年和2022年两次难民危机中德国与匈牙利的决策过程,发现危机情境(问题压力、欧盟层面的制度背景和政治压力)决定了决策是冲突还是共识,但国内政策差异仍影响最终结果。

Abstract

Why was policymaking in the 2015–16 refugee crisis so conflictual, while policymaking in the Ukrainian refugee crisis of 2022 proved consensual? We argue that the crisis situation – the problem pressure, policy-specific institutional context of crisis policymaking at the EU level, and the resulting political pressure – made a crucial difference. Based on a Policy Process Analysis (PPA) dataset that systematically tracks the policy debate, we test and corroborate our argument by comparing the policymaking in two countries that differ sharply in their domestic asylum policies and their attitudes toward the EU: Hungary and Germany. However, the country-specific contexts still make a difference: in spite of the similarity regarding crisis-specific policymaking in the two countries, the policy outcome varies between them, independently of the crisis, as a result of the differences in domestic asylum policies and EU attitudes.

难民危机危机决策比较政治学欧盟政策