基于模拟的估计:大量辅助统计量在长期动态分析中的应用

Simulation-based estimation with many auxiliary statistics applied to long-run dynamic analysis

Journal of Econometrics · 2024
被引 1
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种新的模拟最小距离估计方法,适用于辅助统计量数量大于样本量的情况,能充分利用大量统计信息(包括长期信息),并通过新凯恩斯模型模拟验证其有效性。

Abstract

The existing asymptotic theory for estimators obtained by simulated minimum distance does not cover situations in which the number of components of the auxiliary statistics (or number of matched "moments") is large — typically larger than the sample size. We establish the consistency of the simulated minimum distance estimator in this situation and derive its asymptotic distribution. Our estimator is easy to implement and allows us to exploit all the informational content of a large number of auxiliary statistics without having to, (i) know these functions explicitly, or (ii) choose a priori which functions are the most informative. As a result, we are able to exploit, among other things, long-run information. We illustrate the implementation of the proposed method through Monte-Carlo simulation experiments based on small- and medium-scale New Keynesian models. These examples highlight how to conveniently exploit valuable information from matching a large number of impulse responses including at long-run horizons.

模拟最小距离估计高维辅助统计量长期动态分析脉冲响应匹配