How emerging modes might change (sustainable) mobility patterns
基于挪威全国调查,识别出七类出行群体,发现电动汽车受欢迎但自动驾驶不受青睐,政策制定者需谨慎引导电动汽车转型,避免挤占主动出行。
Mobility is currently undergoing a substantial transition, with emerging mobility modes holding the potential to reshape how individuals move within cities. Using a Norway-wide survey, we uncover latent subgroups of mobility patterns by examining current travel behaviors and (anticipated) future preferences across a range of alternatives, encompassing both conventional and emerging modes. The level of behavior-preference dissonance (i.e., non-alignment), various travel needs (e.g., safety, environment, cost), and sociodemographic variables are considered covariates. Results uncover seven distinct mobility classes ranging from current (un)sustainable use (behavior) to (un)sustainable future preferences. There is a noticeable preference for electric vehicles (EVs), while autonomous vehicles are less popular. Policymakers should navigate the transition to EVs with caution, ensuring that the integration of EVs complements rather than displaces active travel. In a class, despite indicating a desire for more (emerging) sustainable options, they paradoxically anticipate making more trips than other groups, potentially offsetting their environmental impact.