主席演讲:经济学与测量——用于建模决策的新测量方法

Presidential Address: Economics and Measurement: New Measures to Model Decision Making

Econometrica · 2024
被引 9
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

批评经济学实证研究仅依赖少数传统测量指标,主张测量工具应与经济模型互动发展,并用父母行为模型结合传统与新型测量数据加以说明。

Abstract

Most empirical work in economics has considered only a narrow set of measures as meaningful and useful to characterize individual behavior, a restriction justified by the difficulties in collecting a wider set. However, this approach often forces the use of strong assumptions to estimate the parameters that inform individual behavior and identify causal links. In this paper, we argue that a more flexible and broader approach to measurement could be extremely useful and allow the estimation of richer and more realistic models that rest on weaker identifying assumptions. We argue that the design of measurement tools should interact with, and depend on, the models economists use. Measurement is not a substitute for rigorous theory, it is an important complement to it, and should be developed in parallel to it. We illustrate these arguments with a model of parental behavior estimated on pilot data that combines conventional measures with novel ones.

经济测量决策模型测量工具识别假设