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企业层面的政治风险与股价崩盘

Firm-level political risk and stock price crashes

Journal of Financial Stability · 2024
被引 29 · 同刊同年前 5%
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究了美国企业政治风险与股价崩盘风险的正向关系,发现该关系通过特质波动率、价格信息性和困境风险传导,且公司治理能缓解此效应。

Abstract

In this study, we examine the relationship between firm-level political risk and stock price crash risk. Using a broad dataset of 4230 U.S. firms, 38,097 firm-year observations from 2002 to 2019, we reveal a positive association between political risk and stock price crash risk. These findings are robust to several model specifications and endogeneity checks. By using the Brexit referendum as a quasi-natural experiment, we provide evidence of a causal relationship between political risk and crash risk. Through channel analysis, we identify that this relationship is mediated via higher idiosyncratic volatility, lower price informativeness, and higher distress risk. We also find that our results are more pronounced in intangible-intensive firms. Interestingly, we show that managers of these firms respond to political risk by engaging in bad news hoarding. Finally, strong (external or internal) corporate governance mechanisms can moderate the positive relationship between political risk and stock price crash risk.

公司金融政治风险股价崩盘公司治理实证金融