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经济政策不确定性对盈余价值相关性的影响

The impact of economic policy uncertainty on earnings value relevance

International Journal of Finance and Economics · 2024
被引 3
ABS 3

中文导读

研究发现经济政策不确定性会降低企业盈余信息的价值相关性,且在公司治理较差、复杂度较高时影响更明显,主要通过降低信息质量、破坏信息环境和阻碍投资者决策三条路径起作用。

Abstract

Abstract Earnings value relevance, defined by the predictive and explanatory power of corporate earnings information for market value, reflects accounting earnings decision utility and the capital market's information efficiency. Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) reduces information quality, impairs the information environment, and disrupts interpretation of information, diminishing earnings value relevance. Using a dataset comprising Chinese A‐share listed companies from 2006 to 2019, we empirically examine the impact of EPU on earnings value relevance. Our finding indicates that EPU reduces earnings value relevance, and the effect is more pronounced in firms with lower governance effectiveness and higher firm complexity. Channel analysis demonstrates that decreasing information quality, undermining the information environment, and impeding investor decision‐making are the main three mechanisms. In light of these findings, the government should strive to enhance stability in economic policies and improve information efficiency, fostering a positive interaction between firms and the capital market.

经济政策不确定性盈余价值相关性公司治理资本市场效率中国上市公司