Declining research productivity and income inequality: A centenary perspective
本文利用开放经济熊彼特增长模型和21个OECD国家百年数据,发现研究生产率下降通过资产回报渠道解释了25%-35%的收入不平等下降趋势。
Research productivity has been sharply declining since 1920. This decline has significant implications for inequality. Using an open-economy Schumpeterian growth model, we show that domestic research productivity influences income inequality through two opposing forces: a positive effect from increased asset returns and a negative effect from the erosion of innovation rents through creative destruction. In contrast, foreign research productivity affects inequality solely through the asset returns channel. By constructing a long historical data series for 21 OECD countries, we find that the asset returns channel has been the dominant driver of inequality over the past century. The reduction in both domestic and foreign R&D productivity accounts for 25% to 35% of the observed downward trend in income inequality over this period.