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自由度:搜索成本与自一致性

Degrees of Freedom: Search Cost and Self-Consistency

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics · 2024
被引 0
ABS 3

中文导读

提出修正搜索自由度(msdf)概念,量化模型选择中的搜索成本,并引入名义自由度和实际自由度,定义自一致性属性,通过模拟和实际数据验证改进MARS的拟合性能。

Abstract

Model degrees of freedom (df) is a fundamental concept in statistics because it quantifies the flexibility of a fitting procedure and is indispensable in model selection.To investigate the gap between df and the number of independent variables in the fitting procedure, Tibshirani introduced the search degrees of freedom (sdf) concept to account for the search cost during model selection.However, this definition has two limitations: it does not consider fitting procedures in augmented spaces and does not use the same fitting procedure for sdf and df.We propose a modified search degrees of freedom (msdf) to directly account for the cost of searching in either original or augmented spaces.We check this definition for various fitting procedures, including classical linear regressions, spline methods, adaptive regressions (the best subset and the lasso), regression trees, and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS).In many scenarios when sdf is applicable, msdf reduces to sdf.However, for certain procedures like the lasso, msdf offers a fresh perspective on search costs.For some complex procedures like MARS, the df has been pre-determined during model fitting, but the df of the final fitted procedure might differ from the pre-determined one.To investigate this discrepancy, we introduce the concepts of nominal df and actual df, and define the property of self-consistency, which occurs when there is no gap between these two df's.We propose a correction procedure for MARS to align these two df's, demonstrating improved fitting performance through extensive simulations and two real data applications.

统计学模型选择非参数回归自适应回归