异方差下高维分位数回归的高效多变点检测与定位

Efficient Multiple Change Point Detection and Localization For High-Dimensional Quantile Regression with Heteroscedasticity

Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2024
被引 5
ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种在高维分位数回归中同时处理结构变化和异方差的多变点检测与定位方法,适用于经济金融数据中的复杂尾部分布和异质性分析。

Abstract

Data heterogeneity is a challenging issue for modern statistical data analysis. There are different types of data heterogeneity in practice. In this paper, we consider potential structural changes and complicated tail distributions. There are various existing methods proposed to handle either structural changes or heteroscedasticity. However, it is difficult to handle them simultaneously. To overcome this limitation, we consider statistically and computationally efficient change point detection and localization in high-dimensional quantile regression models. Our proposed framework is general and flexible since the change points and the underlying regression coefficients are allowed to vary across different quantile levels. The model parameters, including the data dimension, the number of change points, and the signal jump size, can be scaled with the sample size. Under this framework, we construct a novel two-step estimation of the number and locations of the change points as well as the underlying regression coefficients. Without any moment constraints on the error term, we present theoretical results, including consistency of the change point number, oracle estimation of change point locations, and estimation for the underlying regression coefficients with the optimal convergence rate. Finally, we present simulation results and an application to the S&P 100 dataset to demonstrate the advantage of the proposed method.

计量经济学统计学高维数据分析变点检测