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半参数贝叶斯回归的蒙特卡洛推断

Monte Carlo Inference for Semiparametric Bayesian Regression

Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2024
被引 3
ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种简单高效的策略,联合推断未知数据变换和回归模型参数,适用于线性模型、分位数回归和高斯过程,并提供R包SeBR。

Abstract

Data transformations are essential for broad applicability of parametric regression models. However, for Bayesian analysis, joint inference of the transformation and model parameters typically involves restrictive parametric transformations or nonparametric representations that are computationally inefficient and cumbersome for implementation and theoretical analysis, which limits their usability in practice. This paper introduces a simple, general, and efficient strategy for joint posterior inference of an unknown transformation and all regression model parameters. The proposed approach directly targets the posterior distribution of the transformation by linking it with the marginal distributions of the independent and dependent variables, and then deploys a Bayesian nonparametric model via the Bayesian bootstrap. Crucially, this approach delivers (1) joint posterior consistency under general conditions, including multiple model misspecifications, and (2) efficient Monte Carlo (not Markov chain Monte Carlo) inference for the transformation and all parameters for important special cases. These tools apply across a variety of data domains, including real-valued, positive, and compactly-supported data. Simulation studies and an empirical application demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of this strategy for semiparametric Bayesian analysis with linear models, quantile regression, and Gaussian processes. The R package SeBR is available on CRAN.

半参数回归贝叶斯推断蒙特卡洛方法数据变换