为何21世纪仍会发生饥荒?极端粮食不安全原因综述

Why do famines still occur in the 21st Century? A review on the causes of extreme food insecurity

Journal of Economic Surveys · 2024
被引 4
人大 AABS 2

中文导读

综述了关于饥荒成因的六类理论,包括古典经济解释、食物供给下降、权利方法、政治视角、新型饥荒假说和系统性解释,指出极端贫困、暴力冲突、经济冲击、气候变化、政府疏忽、饥荒犯罪和大流行病等因素的复杂作用,并讨论了减少极端粮食不安全的发展政策启示。

Abstract

Abstract Why do famines persist in the 21st century, despite significant advances in agricultural productivity? Throughout human history, famines have been – and continue to be – among the harshest manifestations of destitution. They result from the exacerbation of human vulnerabilities caused by the synergistic interaction of multiple anthropogenic and natural determinants. Famines are humanitarian emergencies that sharply increase mortality and/or morbidity among destitute families. This article reviews the academic debate on the causes of famines. The literature is organized into six main “families” of theories: (i) classical economic explanations (Smith's and Malthus’ theses); (ii) food availability decline approach; (iii) entitlement approach; (iv) political perspectives (political regime and political accountability approaches); (v) new variant famine hypothesis; and (vi) systemic explanations. The article identifies the main gaps and limitations in this literature and highlights relevant development policy implications for reducing extreme food insecurity. The conclusion drawn is that the persistence of famines is attributable to ongoing mismanagement of significant triggers of extreme human vulnerability, both at the national and international levels. Extreme poverty, violent conflicts, economic shocks, climate change, governmental negligence, famine crimes, and pandemics contribute to the complexity of famine and require a comprehensive development strategy.

饥荒成因极端粮食不安全人类脆弱性政策失灵