大维矩阵因子模型的拟极大似然估计

Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Large-Dimensional Matrix Factor Models

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2024
被引 1
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出拟极大似然估计(Q-MLE)方法估计大维矩阵因子模型,能处理异方差性,在异方差存在时表现优于主成分分析法,并用于金融和宏观经济数据发现因子模式。

Abstract

In this study, we introduce a novel approach, called the quasi maximum likelihood estimation (Q-MLE), for estimating large-dimensional matrix factor models. In contrast to the principal component analysis based approach, Q-MLE considers the heteroscedasticity of the idiosyncratic error term, the heteroscedasticity of which is simultaneously estimated with other parameters. Interestingly, under the homoscedasticity assumption of the idiosyncratic error, the Q-MLE estimator encompassed the projected estimator (PE) as a special case. We provide the convergence rates and asymptotic distributions of the Q-MLE estimators under mild conditions. Extensive numerical experiments demonstrate that the Q-MLE method performs better, especially when heteroscedasticity exists. Furthermore, two real examples in finance and macroeconomics reveal factor patterns across rows and columns, which coincide with financial, economic, or geographical interpretations.

准极大似然估计矩阵因子模型异方差性收敛速度