无总体风险的系统性银行挤兑:流动性错配如何引发偿付能力危机

Systemic bank runs without aggregate risk: How a misallocation of liquidity may trigger a solvency crisis

Journal of Financial Economics · 2024
被引 5
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

构建了一个银行挤兑的一般均衡模型,揭示流动性在无消费需求的家庭间错配如何降低企业收入和银行资产回报,从而引发偿付能力危机,并探讨了存款冻结、赎回惩罚和紧急流动性供给等干预措施的效果。

Abstract

We develop a general equilibrium model of self-fulfilling bank runs. The key novelty is the way in which the banking system's assets and liabilities are connected. Banks issue loans to entrepreneurs who sell goods to households, which in turn pay for the goods by redeeming bank deposits. The return on bank assets is thus contingent on households being able to withdraw their deposits. In a run, not all households that wish to consume manage to withdraw, since part of banks’ cash reserves end up in the hands of households without consumption needs. This misallocation of liquidity lowers revenues of entrepreneurs and bank asset returns, thereby rationalising the run. Interventions that restrict redemptions in a run can be self-defeating due to their negative effect on demand in goods markets. We show how runs can sometimes be prevented with combinations of deposit freezes and redemption penalties as well as with the provision of emergency liquidity.

银行挤兑流动性错配偿付能力危机自我实现危机