帮派统治:理解与对抗犯罪治理

Gang Rule: Understanding and Countering Criminal Governance

Review of Economic Studies · 2024
被引 18
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究发现,在哥伦比亚麦德林,国家力量的存在反而可能激励帮派加强治理,尤其是在毒品租金高的社区,这对打击犯罪治理提出了新策略。

Abstract

Abstract Criminal groups govern millions worldwide. Even in strong states, gangs resolve disputes and provide security. Why do these duopolies of coercion emerge? Often, gangs fill vacuums of official power, suggesting that increasing state presence should crowd out criminal governance. We show, however, that state and gang rule can be strategic complements. In particular, gangs could minimize seizures and arrests by keeping neighbourhoods orderly and loyal. If true, increasing state presence could increase incentives for gang rule. In Medellín, Colombia, criminal leaders told us they rule to protect drug rents from police. We test gang responses to state presence using a geographic discontinuity. Internal border changes in 1987 assigned blocks to be closer or further from state security for three decades. Gangs exogenously closer to state presence developed more governance over time. They primarily did so in neighbourhoods with the greatest potential drug rents. This suggests new strategies for countering criminal governance.

犯罪治理国家存在战略互补毒品租金哥伦比亚