美国白人死亡率上升及二战后出生队列健康状况下降

Increased mortality of white Americans and a decline in the health of cohorts born after World War II

Journal of Human Resources · 2024
被引 1
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究发现美国白人近期死亡率上升源于二战后出生队列健康状况下降,通过死亡率年龄模式识别出1946年后出生队列的健康恶化,且早于阿片类药物流行。

Abstract

I show evidence that recent increases in mortality of white Americans are rooted in a decline in the health of cohorts born after World War II, relative to the prior trend. I identify the role of cohort health by imposing the impact of age on mortality to follow the log-linear, Gompertz form. Log mortality rates in every year between 1985 and 2015 exhibit slope changes centered at the 1946 cohort for white men and the 1949 cohort for white women, consistent with a health decline beginning precisely with those cohorts. Evidence of the cohort health decline predates the opioid epidemic.

白人死亡率上升二战后出生队列队列健康下降戈姆珀茨模型