A Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model with leverage in Hilbert space for commodity forward markets
将Barndorff-Nielsen和Shephard模型扩展到希尔伯特空间，引入杠杆效应，用于商品远期曲线建模和期权定价，并给出了历史测度与风险中性测度之间的关系。
Abstract We propose an extension of the model introduced by Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard, based on stochastic processes of Ornstein–Uhlenbeck type taking values in Hilbert spaces and including the leverage effect. We compute explicitly the characteristic function of the log-return and the volatility processes. By introducing a measure change of Esscher type, we provide a relation between the dynamics described with respect to the historical and the risk-neutral measures. We discuss in detail the application of the proposed model to describe the commodity forward curve dynamics in a Heath–Jarrow–Morton framework, including the modelling of forwards with delivery period occurring in energy markets and the pricing of options. For the latter, we show that a Fourier approach can be applied in this infinite-dimensional setting, relying on the attractive property of conditional Gaussianity of our stochastic volatility model. In our analysis, we study both arithmetic and geometric models of forward prices and provide appropriate martingale conditions in order to ensure arbitrage-free dynamics.