研发项目中的纵向合作稳定性:半导体产业的博弈论分析

Vertical cooperation stability in R&D programs: A game theory analysis of the semiconductor industry

Technological Forecasting and Social Change · 2024
被引 4
ABS 3

中文导读

用博弈论模型分析上下游企业在技术和市场不确定下研发合作的稳定性,以谷歌与恩智浦的案例说明交叉成本分摊机制的作用。

Abstract

This paper explores the formation mechanisms and stability of vertical cooperation in research and development (R&D) programs between upstream and downstream firms under technological and market uncertainty. Specifically, we concentrate on the dynamics of the semiconductor industry , which is characterized by accelerating technological improvements and an increasingly complex end market. Grounded in game theory , we propose a two-stage model and compare cooperative and noncooperative equilibria. Then, we illustrate the results by referring to a case study of successful vertical cooperation between Google and NXP Semiconductors. We highlight the contribution of vertical cooperation to the success of R&D programs, measured by the probabilities of technological improvement and market acceptance as well as the gross profits of both firms. Meanwhile, to ensure the stability of such an agreement, even in the case of initial collaboration, we advocate the introduction of a cross-cost-sharing mechanism. Finally, we conclude with the strategic implications of maintaining the stability of vertical cooperation in R&D programs in high-tech industries .

博弈论半导体产业研发合作产业组织