秩变换子抽样:多重数据分割与可交换p值的推断

Rank-transformed subsampling: inference for multiple data splitting and exchangeable p-values

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology · 2024
被引 8
ABS 4

中文导读

提出秩变换子抽样方法,用于结合多次随机数据分割的检验统计量或p值,在温和假设下实现大样本推断,控制第一类错误并提升检验功效。

Abstract

Abstract Many testing problems are readily amenable to randomized tests, such as those employing data splitting. However, despite their usefulness in principle, randomized tests have obvious drawbacks. Firstly, two analyses of the same dataset may lead to different results. Secondly, the test typically loses power because it does not fully utilize the entire sample. As a remedy to these drawbacks, we study how to combine the test statistics or p-values resulting from multiple random realizations, such as through random data splits. We develop rank-transformed subsampling as a general method for delivering large-sample inference about the combined statistic or p-value under mild assumptions. We apply our methodology to a wide range of problems, including testing unimodality in high-dimensional data, testing goodness-of-fit of parametric quantile regression models, testing no direct effect in a sequentially randomized trial and calibrating cross-fit double machine learning confidence intervals. In contrast to existing p-value aggregation schemes that can be highly conservative, our method enjoys Type I error control that asymptotically approaches the nominal level. Moreover, compared to using the ordinary subsampling, we show that our rank transform can remove the first-order bias in approximating the null under alternatives and greatly improve power.

统计学假设检验数据分割p值聚合机器学习