灾难经历缩小了气候变化上的党派分歧:来自德克萨斯的证据

Disaster experience mitigates the partisan divide on climate change: Evidence from Texas

Global Environmental Change · 2024
被引 4
ABS 3

中文导读

研究通过德克萨斯州多次极端天气事件调查发现,个人经历极端天气能缩小共和党与民主党在气候变化信念和政策上的分歧,而科学归因信息则无此效果。

Abstract

• Can linking extreme weather events to climate change reduce the climate partisan gap? • Multi-mode and multi-event study on various climate attitudes among Texas residents. • Personal experience with extreme weather predicts Republicans’ pro-climate attitudes. • Evidence of ceiling effect in pro-climate attitude shift among Democrats. • Scientific information on climate attribution has no effect on pro-climate attitudes. Despite the abundance of real world events and scientific information linking the worsening extreme weather to climate change, public attitudes toward climate issues in the United States remain highly divided along partisan lines. We compare the effect of different stimuli linking extreme weather events to climate change – personal experiences and scientific information – in reducing the partisan gap. A two-wave survey corresponding to multiple extreme weather events in Texas, including a natural experiment with power outage data from the 2021 North American Winter Storms, shows that personal experiences with extreme weather reduce the partisan divide in climate beliefs and polices. Scientific information attributing extreme weather events to climate change, however, had no effect in closing the partisan gap. These findings suggest that extreme climate events and disaster experiences force vividly tangible information about the proximity and severity of climate change on exposed individuals, prompting belief-updating and preference-shifting toward pro-climate policies.

气候变化党派分歧极端天气灾害经历公众态度