基于广义协方差的集合识别模型推断:从独立性限制出发

Generalized covariance‐based inference for models set‐identified from independence restrictions

Journal of Time Series Analysis · 2024
被引 0
ABS 3

中文导读

本文为满足误差独立性条件的集合识别模型(如ICA、SVAR等)开发了统计推断方法,利用广义协方差估计量构建检验统计量,并通过逆检验构造识别集的置信区间,辅以模拟和金融数据应用。

Abstract

This article develops statistical inference methods for a class of set‐identified models, where the errors are known functions of observations and the parameters satisfy either serial or/and cross‐sectional independence conditions. This class of models includes the independent component analysis (ICA), Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR), and multi‐variate mixed causal–non‐causal models. We use the Generalized Covariance (GCov) estimator to compute the residual‐based portmanteau statistic for testing the error independence hypothesis. Next, we build the confidence sets for the identified sets of parameters by inverting the test statistic. We also discuss the choice (design) of these statistics. The approach is illustrated by simulations examining the under‐identification condition in an ICA model and an application to financial return series.

计量经济学因果推断时间序列分析独立成分分析