通过e过程检验均值和方差

Testing the mean and variance by e-processes

Biometrika · 2024
被引 3
ABS 4

中文导读

针对非平稳数据,研究如何检验条件均值和条件方差,构建了四种非参数复合假设的e值和p值,并通过e过程(即赌注检验)构造检验方法,模拟和实证研究展示了其特点。

Abstract

Summary We address the problem of testing the conditional mean and conditional variance for nonstationary data. We build e-values and p-values for four types of nonparametric composite hypothesis with specified mean and variance as well as other conditions on the shape of the data-generating distribution. These shape conditions include symmetry, unimodality and their combination. Using the obtained e-values and p-values, we construct tests via e-processes, also known as testing by betting, as well as some tests based on combining p-values for comparison. Although we mainly focus on one-sided tests, the two-sided test for the mean is also studied. Simulation and empirical studies are conducted under a few settings, and they illustrate features of the methods based on e-processes.

计量经济学非参数统计假设检验时间序列分析