货币政策与政府债务

Monetary Policy and Government Debt

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2024
被引 2
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究政府债务水平如何影响货币政策效果,发现债务比率升高会削弱利率变动对产出和失业的传导效应,基于美国数据量化了这种减弱程度。

Abstract

Abstract We study how the level of government debt affects the effectiveness of monetary policy, that is, the elasticity of economic aggregates to interest rate changes. We build a New Keynesian model where fiscal policy is non‐Ricardian and government debt is risk‐free. Wealth effects generated by government bonds weaken the transmission of monetary policy to output. Using data on private ownership of U.S. public debt, we find that when the debt‐to‐GDP ratio is one standard deviation above its mean, the response of industrial production and unemployment to a monetary shock decreases by 0.75pp and 0.1pp, respectively, out to a 3‐year horizon.

政府债务货币政策有效性新凯恩斯模型财富效应