Challenging the deglobalization narrative: Global flows have remained resilient through successive shocks
本文基于DHL全球连通性指数,反驳了世界已进入去全球化时期的流行说法,指出国际流动相对国内活动并未减少,且地缘政治驱动的流动变化主要涉及冲突中心国家,并警告对去全球化的误解可能导致代价高昂的开放度下降。
Abstract We challenge the popular narrative that the world has entered a period of deglobalization, arguing that deglobalization is still a risk rather than a current reality. Drawing upon the DHL Global Connectedness Index, we show that international flows have not decreased relative to domestic activity, there is not an ongoing shift from global to regional business, and geopolitically driven shifts in international flows still primarily involve countries at the center of present conflicts. We propose policy and research implications, warning that misperceptions of deglobalization could themselves contribute to costly reductions in international openness.