内生风险暴露与系统性不稳定

Endogenous Risk Exposure and Systemic Instability

Management Science · 2024
被引 4
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究发现银行在金融网络中会策略性地选择风险暴露,形成网络风险承担外部性,导致内生性过度风险,并指出限制政府对银行间暴露的救助可有效降低系统性风险。

Abstract

Most research on systemic stability assumes an economy where banks are subject to exogenous shocks. However, in practice, banks choose their exposure to risk. I show that there exists a network risk-taking externality: the risk exposure choices made by connected banks are strategically complementary. Banks within financial networks, especially densely connected ones, become endogenously exposed to excessive risks. The theory offers several novel perspectives on policy debates. For instance, it suggests that limiting government bailouts to interbank exposures can effectively reduce endogenous systemic risk. This paper was accepted by Kay Giesecke, finance. Funding: This work was financially supported by the USC Dornsife Institute for New Economic Thinking Fellowship, the Marshall PhD Fellowship, and European Finance Association Doctoral Tutorial Best Paper Prize. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.01519 .

内生风险暴露系统性不稳定网络风险承担外部性银行间风险敞口