ON THE ECONOMIC MECHANICS OF WARFARE
研究战争支出如何影响战争结果(如胜方、持续时间和伤亡),通过模型分析太平洋战争,发现简单参数化能再现双方舰船吨位的破坏模式。
Abstract How do war‐related expenditures affect economically relevant outcomes at a war's conclusion (e.g., prevailing side, duration, and casualties)? I present a model of attrition and characterize the effects of resources at a military conclusion (one side cannot fight anymore) and a political conclusion (one side quits). I analyze the Pacific War through the lenses of the model, both theoretically and empirically. I find that a parsimonious parameterization reproduces the aggregate patterns of destruction, measured in ship tonnage, for both belligerents.