矩阵时间序列CP因子模型的识别与估计

Identification and estimation for matrix time-series CP-factor models

Annals of Statistics · 2026
被引 0
ABS 4★

中文导读

提出一种新方法识别和估计矩阵时间序列的CP因子模型,收敛速度不受特征间隙影响,且能处理秩不足的因子载荷矩阵,模拟和真实数据验证了优势。

Abstract

We propose a new method for identifying and estimating the CP-factor models for matrix time series. Unlike the generalized eigenanalysis-based method (J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B. Stat. Methodol. 85 (2023) 127–148) for which the convergence rates of the associated estimators may suffer from small eigengaps as the asymptotic theory is based on some matrix perturbation analysis, the proposed new method enjoys faster convergence rates which are free from any eigengaps. It achieves this by turning the problem into a joint diagonalization of several matrices whose elements are determined by a basis of a linear system, and by choosing the basis carefully to avoid near colinearity (see Proposition 5 and Section 4.3). Furthermore, unlike the generalized eigenanalysis-based method which requires the two factor loading matrices to be full-ranked, the proposed new method can handle rank-deficient factor loading matrices. Illustration with both simulated and real matrix time-series data shows the advantages of the proposed new method.

计量经济学时间序列分析因子模型矩阵分析