Mapping the interplay of work-arrangement, residential location, and activity engagement within an integrated model
本研究将远程办公等虚拟活动纳入交通-土地利用-排放综合模型，通过调查和模拟分析工作安排对居住地点和活动参与的影响，为政策制定者提供参考。
Virtual activities, such as teleworking have been identified as major travel demand management strategies to tackle traffic congestion and emission. However, integrated models, which are capable of testing such strategies, have not yet been properly extended to capture emerging activity patterns. This study fills-up the literature gap by implementing individuals’ work-arrangement and introducing in-home (IH) virtual activities within an integrated Transport, Land-use, and Emission (iTLE) modeling framework. First, it conducts a household travel survey, which collected socio-economic, activity-travel, and work-related information through a questionnaire survey in the Halifax Regional Municipality (HRM), Nova Scotia , Canada. Next, it develops a work-arrangement choice model based on the mixed-logit modelling (MXL) approach and implements it within iTLE. After that, individuals’ daily activity programs are generated in a sequential manner utilizing a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) modelling approach considering their work-arrangement, employment, and vehicle ownership. To demonstrate the application of the developed tool, individuals’ socio-demographics, residential-location, work-location, and activity-participation are longitudinally simulated up to 2031. The analysis of teleworking parameters revealed distinct clusters and individual preferences, emphasizing the significance of personalized approaches in formulating teleworking strategies. Most non-teleworkers stay closer to downtown than full-teleworkers while clustered behavior is observed among hybrid workers for residential location choice. Increase is observed for shopping, dining-out, and IH maintenance/discretionary activities while decrease is observed for out-of-home work. The outcomes of this paper will be helpful for policymakers and transport researchers to understand the evolution of work-arrangement and examine subsequent impacts on transportation and land-use systems.