Dishonesty is linked with the spread of infectious diseases
研究发现，在抛硬币任务中表现不诚实的德国人感染新冠的可能性是平均水平的两倍多，且更可能从事高风险行为；国家层面的公民诚实度也与新冠死亡人数相关。
• Dishonesty in coin-tossing task predicts higher likelihood of COVID-19 infection. • Dishonest individuals engage in riskier behaviors related to COVID-19 transmission. • National civic honesty also correlates with COVID-19 deaths in OECD countries. This paper investigates the link between dishonesty and the spread of COVID-19 infections. In an online experiment and panel survey, 2,723 Germans completed an incentivized coin-tossing task in March 2020 and reported their infection status in four subsequent survey waves up until December 2021. We find that individuals who are most likely dishonest in the coin-tossing task at the onset of the pandemic, as they report the highest number of winning coin tosses, are more than twice as likely to get a future COVID-19 infection than the sample mean. Respondents who are most likely to have reported dishonestly also engage more in behaviors that increase the risk of becoming infected and of transmitting the infection relative to likely honest respondents. Hence, we postulate that differences in preferences and norm compliance are underlying determinants that affect behavior in the experiment and in the field. We observe a similar relationship at the country level between an incentivized measure of civic honesty and excess deaths due to COVID-19 in 22 OECD countries.