调查设计能否减少回忆数据中的锚定偏差?来自马拉维小农户的证据

Can survey design reduce anchoring bias in recall data? Evidence from smallholder farmers in Malawi

European Review of Agricultural Economics · 2024
被引 7
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了三种调查设计策略(问题排序、检索提示和社区锚定)对减少马拉维小农户玉米产量和幸福感回忆数据中锚定偏差的效果,发现先问回顾性问题再问当前问题可将玉米产量回忆偏差降低34%。

Abstract

Abstract Recall biases in retrospective self-reported survey data have important implications for empirical research. We leverage the survey design literature and test three strategies to attenuate mental anchoring in retrospective data collection: question ordering, retrieval cues and aggregate (community) anchoring. We focus on maize production and happiness reports among smallholder farmers in Malawi. Asking for retrospective before concurrent data on average reduces recall bias (i.e. the deviation of the recalled versus the concurrent outcome reported in the previous period) by 34 per cent for maize production, a meaningful improvement with no increase in data collection costs. Retrieval cues are less successful and community anchors can exacerbate the bias. None of the strategies help to ease the recall bias for happiness reports.

调查设计锚定偏差回忆数据小农户