基于L1距离的贝叶斯理想点模型用于多维政治分析

l 1 -based Bayesian Ideal Point Model for Multidimensional Politics

Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2024
被引 0
ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种基于L1距离的贝叶斯方法估计多维理想点,解决旋转不变性问题,模拟和实际数据验证有效,适用于分析跨党派分歧的立法投票数据。

Abstract

Ideal point estimation methods in the social sciences lack a principled approach for identifying multidimensional ideal points. We present a novel method for estimating multidimensional ideal points based on ℓ1 distance. In the Bayesian framework, the use of ℓ1 distance transforms the invariance problem of infinite rotational turns into the signed perpendicular problem, yielding posterior estimates that contract around a small area. Our simulation shows that the proposed method successfully recovers planted multidimensional ideal points in a variety of settings including non-partisan, two-party, and multi-party systems. The proposed method is applied to the analysis of roll call data from the United States House of Representatives during the late Gilded Age (1891-1899) when legislative coalitions were distinguished not only by partisan divisions but also by sectional divisions that ran across party lines.

理想点估计贝叶斯方法多维政治立法数据分析