环境不变线性最小二乘法

Environment invariant linear least squares

Annals of Statistics · 2024
被引 5
ABS 4★

中文导读

提出环境不变线性最小二乘目标函数,利用多环境数据中条件期望的不变性识别真实参数,无需额外结构知识,在存在虚假变量时给出估计误差界,并实现高维变量选择一致性。

Abstract

This paper considers a multi-environment linear regression model in which data from multiple experimental settings are collected. The joint distribution of the response variable and covariates may vary across different environments, yet the conditional expectations of the response variable, given the unknown set of important variables, are invariant. Such a statistical model is related to the problem of endogeneity, causal inference, and transfer learning. The motivation behind it is illustrated by how the goals of prediction and attribution are inherent in estimating the true parameter and the important variable set. We construct a novel environment invariant linear least squares (EILLS) objective function, a multi-environment version of linear least squares regression that leverages the above conditional expectation invariance structure and heterogeneity among different environments to determine the true parameter. Our proposed method is applicable without any additional structural knowledge and can identify the true parameter under a near-minimal identification condition related to the heterogeneity of the environments. We establish nonasymptotic ℓ2 error bounds on the estimation error for the EILLS estimator in the presence of spurious variables. Moreover, we further show that the ℓ0 penalized EILLS estimator can achieve variable selection consistency in high-dimensional regimes. These nonasymptotic results demonstrate the sample efficiency of the EILLS estimator and its capability to circumvent the curse of endogeneity in an algorithmic manner without any additional prior structural knowledge. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first to realize statistically efficient invariance learning in the general linear model.

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