人工智能与就业:来自美国通勤区的证据

Artificial intelligence and jobs: evidence from US commuting zones

Economic Policy · 2024
被引 21 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究了2000-2020年间人工智能对美国各通勤区就业的影响,发现AI暴露度增加会减少就业,尤其对低技能和生产工人不利,但高薪和STEM岗位受益,加剧了不平等。

Abstract

Abstract We study the effect of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on employment across US commuting zones (CZs) over the period 2000–2020. A simple model shows that AI can automate jobs or complement workers, and illustrates how to estimate its effect by exploiting variation in a novel measure of local exposure to AI: job growth in AI-related professions built from detailed occupational data. Using a shift-share instrument that combines industry-level AI adoption with local industry employment, we estimate robust negative effects of AI exposure on employment across CZs and time. We find that AI’s impact is different from other capital and technologies, and that it works through services more than manufacturing. Moreover, the employment effect is especially negative for low-skill and production workers, while it turns positive for workers at the top of the wage distribution and for those in STEM occupations. These results are consistent with the view that AI has contributed to the automation of jobs and to widen inequality.

人工智能就业通勤区自动化