The Effect of Natural Disasters on Inbound Tourism: Synthetic Control Evidence From Italy
研究2009年拉奎拉地震对意大利入境旅游的长期负面影响，发现过夜游客数量显著下降，尤其对酒店住宿影响明显，采用合成控制法提供因果证据。
ABSTRACT This study enhances the expanding but still limited body of evidence concerning the influence of natural hazards on tourism. We augment prior scholarly investigations by scrutinizing the repercussions of the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake on incoming tourism, thereby addressing an existing void in the literature regarding the ramifications of extreme events on high‐income nations such as Italy. Moreover, our contribution is novel in its application of the quasi‐experimental Synthetic Control Method within the realm of tourism research. Our findings underscore the enduringly deleterious consequences of the L'Aquila hazard on tourism, persisting over a protracted temporal horizon. In particular, the analysis shows a drop in overnight stays with a pronounced effect on hotel accommodations.