非线性经济的神经网络学习

Neural network learning for nonlinear economies

Journal of Monetary Economics · 2024
被引 3
ABS 4

Abstract

本摘要源自该文的 CEPR 工作论文版(2024),正式发表版可能有调整。

Neural networks offer a promising tool for the analysis of nonlinear economies. In this paper, we derive conditions for the global stability of nonlinear rational expectations equilibria under neural network learning. We demonstrate the applicability of the conditions in analytical and numerical examples where the nonlinearity is caused by monetary policy targeting a range, rather than a specific value, of inflation. If shock persistence is high or there is inertia in the structure of the economy, then the only rational expectations equilibria that are learnable may involve inflation spending long periods outside its target range. Neural network learning is also useful for solving and selecting between multiple equilibria and steady states in other settings, such as when there is a zero lower bound on the nominal interest rate.

经济学人工智能非线性系统凯恩斯经济学计算机科学