The Effect of COVID-19 on Poverty-Alleviated Households: Evidence from J City, China
利用中国某城市行政追踪面板数据，估计新冠疫情使脱贫户人均收入下降约14.78%，每例确诊病例与收入减少2.02%相关，且教育程度低和刚脱贫的家庭受影响更大，但产业帮扶政策有效缓解了负面冲击。
This paper estimates the causal effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the per capita income of poverty-alleviated households (PAHs). Using administrative tracking panel data from a Chinese city, we leverage quasi-experimental variation in county-level pandemic deaths and policies. We find that the COVID-19 pandemic reduced the income of PAHs by nearly 14.78%. Additionally, each confirmed COVID-19 case was associated with a 2.02% reduction in income. Moreover, heterogeneity analysis reveals that the negative effect is more pronounced among households with less education and those that had recently overcome poverty. Finally, our findings highlight the effectiveness of China’s industrial-assistance policies, which have significantly mitigated the negative effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the income of PAHs.