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间接新闻报道与经济政策不确定性

Indirect news coverage and economic policy uncertainty

Economics Letters · 2024
被引 2
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

利用新闻的语义指纹衡量各国新闻强度,通过DCC-GARCH模型发现新闻强度与经济不确定性正相关,且影响不确定性与通胀、产出增长的相关性。

Abstract

This paper uses semantic fingerprints of news to measure news intensity for countries. Estimation results from DCC-GARCH models show that correlations between news intensity and economic uncertainty are mostly positive throughout time. The more relevant news about a country are published, the higher is the economic uncertainty in that country. News intensity also has a negative impact on correlations between uncertainty and inflation, and a positive impact on correlations between uncertainty and output growth.

经济学公共经济学计量经济学新闻媒体