资本流动全球化与国家的(非)纪律约束

Globalization of capital flows and the (in)disciplining of nations

Journal of Comparative Economics · 2025
被引 2
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

分析了资本外逃威胁是否约束政府并改善治理,发现存在竞争性渠道:有效治理时政府减少外部冲击暴露,治理失败时资本外逃威胁产生纪律效应,但可能损害治理质量,因此提出适度资本管制的作用。

Abstract

We analyze whether the threat of capital flight “disciplines” governments and improves governance. Our findings show that the globalization of capital flows influences governance through two competing channels. When a government effectively manages domestic governance, it seeks to minimize exposure to sudden capital flight driven by external factors. In contrast, when a government fails to manage domestic governance, the threat of capital flight can impose discipline, improving governance and welfare by placing the country in a “golden straitjacket”—the disciplining effect. However, capital flight may also negatively affect governance quality. As a result, this paper proposes a novel and qualified role for modest capital controls . Finally, we present evidence consistent with the predictions of our theoretical framework.

资本流动全球化政府治理资本外逃资本管制