Reducing child marriages through CCTs: Evidence from a large-scale policy intervention in Indonesia
利用印度尼西亚贫困定向的有条件现金转移项目（PKH）的行政数据，采用模糊断点回归设计，发现该项目使农村女孩童婚率降低约3.5个百分点（约40%），表明CCT有助于打破童婚的持续实践。
There is limited empirical evidence on whether poverty-targeted conditional cash transfers (CCTs) can be an effective tool in reducing child marriages. Employing a Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity design that uses administrative roll-out data matched to the government’s poverty census and targeting database in Indonesia, we estimate that the country’s flagship CCT (PKH) reduced child marriages of girls in rural Indonesia by about 3.5 percentage points (about 40 percent). We conclude that CCTs may help break the persistent practice of child marriages. • Large scale administrative data on the impact of CCTs on child marriages. • Rare evidence on the impact of CCTs on children (age 14-17). • Illustration of evidence on the effectiveness of CCTs for the Southeast Asia region. • Public sector implemented CCTs can help break the persistent practice of child marriages.