一种校准的BISG方法:从姓氏和地理位置推断种族

A calibrated BISG for inferring race from surname and geolocation

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society · 2025
被引 2 · 同刊同年前 6%
ABS 3

中文导读

研究发现标准BISG方法在美国少数族裔子群体中存在偏差,并提出一种基于排名的改进方法,利用州选民档案中的姓氏-地理位置分布来校准预测。

Abstract

Abstract Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG) is a ubiquitous tool for predicting race and ethnicity using an individual’s geolocation and surname. Here we demonstrate that statistical dependence of surname and geolocation within racial/ethnic categories in the US results in biases for minority subpopulations, and we introduce a raking-based improvement. Our method augments the data used by BISG—distributions of race by geolocation and race by surname—with the distribution of surname by geolocation obtained from state voter files. We validate our algorithm on state voter registration lists that contain self-identified race/ethnicity.

种族推断贝叶斯统计地理编码人口统计社会科学方法论