How in-person conversations shape political polarization: Quasi-experimental evidence from a nationwide initiative
研究德国一项大规模干预项目，发现与志同道合者交谈加剧意识形态极化，而与意见相左者交谈减少情感极化并改善社会凝聚力，对理解政治极化机制有参考价值。
Growing political polarization is often attributed to “echo chambers” among like-minded individuals and a lack of social interactions among contrary-minded individuals. We provide quasi-experimental evidence on the effects of in-person conversations on individual-level polarization outcomes, studying a large-scale intervention in Germany that matched pairs of strangers for private face-to-face meetings to discuss divisive political issues. We find asymmetric effects: conversations with like-minded individuals caused political views to become more extreme (ideological polarization); by contrast, conversations with contrary-minded individuals did not lead to a convergence of political views, but significantly reduced negative beliefs and attitudes toward ideological out-group members (affective polarization), while also improving perceived social cohesion more generally. These effects of contrary-minded conversations seem to be driven mostly by positive experiences of interpersonal contact. • Political polarization is often attributed to echo chambers among the like-minded. • We study a large-scale program in Germany that facilitates political conversations. • These conversations happen in-person and are unguided and unobserved. • We find that like-minded conversations increase ideological polarization. • Contrary-minded conversations reduced affective but not ideological polarization.