跨国经济调查中访员错误的多变量评估及实地调查机构的作用

Multivariate assessment of interviewer errors in a cross-national economic survey and the role of fieldwork institutes

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society · 2025
被引 1
ABS 3

中文导读

该研究从多个维度评估跨国经济调查中的访员错误,使用多变量异常检测方法识别异常模式,并发现实地调查机构和督导员而非访员是错误的主要来源。

Abstract

Abstract Interviewers have long been identified as a source of error in face-to-face surveys. However, previous studies have typically focused on a single source of interviewer error and single-country cross-sectional surveys. We extend this literature by investigating interviewer errors from multiple dimensions in the Oesterreichische Nationalbank Euro Survey, a cross-national survey conducted annually in 10 Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European countries. Using data from 10 rounds (i.e. 100 country-years), we apply several data quality indicators on various dimensions of interviewer error and investigate country-years with particularly exceptional patterns. To combine the indicators, we use a multivariate tree-based outlier detection method (isolation forest) that flags country-years and interviewers with outlying values and combine it with methods from the interpretable machine learning literature to identify the respective exceptional feature values. Lastly, we document the effects of interviewer errors on the bias and variance of survey estimates. In several instances, our results identify fieldwork institutes and supervisors rather than interviewers as the main source of error.

调查方法数据质量访员效应跨国研究经济调查