可能重尾GARCH型噪声的线性过程单位根自助法推断

Bootstrap unit root inference for linear processes of possibly heavy-tailed GARCH-type noises

Econometric Reviews · 2025
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了误差为短记忆线性过程且噪声为重尾GARCH型时的单位根检验,提出一种基于残差的自助法,适用于有限方差和无限方差情形,模拟和实证表现良好。

Abstract

.Over the last 20 years, there has been an interest in unit root inference in the presence of infinite-variance noises. This article studies the unit root with errors being a short-memory linear process of the heavy-tailed GARCH noises with its tail-index, 𝛼∈(0,2), α = 2, and 𝛼∈(2,∞). The limiting distribution of the Dickey-Fuller (DF) unit-root test is shown to be a functional of two stable processes when 𝛼∈(0,2) and a functional of a standard Brownian motion when 𝛼∈[2,∞). Since the limit distribution contains some nuisance parameters, it is difficult, if not impossible, to be estimated. This is especially the case when 𝛼∈(1,2). To solve this problem, we propose an m-out-of-n centered residual-based block bootstrap (RBB), which is shown to have the same limit distribution as that of DF test and can be applied to both finite-variance and infinite-variance cases. Simulation studies and a real data analysis show that this RBB approach works well.

单位根检验Bootstrap方法重尾GARCH噪声线性过程