Rate-optimal estimation of mixed semimartingales
研究了布朗运动与分数布朗运动之和的统计性质,发现当两者相关时混合过程不再是半鞅且Hurst参数可识别,并给出了高频观测下所有可识别参数和过程的速率最优估计量。
Consider the sum Y = B + B(H) of a Brownian motion B and an independent fractional Brownian motion B(H) with Hurst parameter H ∈ (0, 1). Even though B(H) is not a semimartingale, it was shown by Cheridito (Bernoulli 7 (2001) 913–934) that Y is a semimartingale if H > 3/4. Moreover, Y is locally equivalent to B in this case, so H cannot be consistently estimated from local observations of Y. This paper pivots on another unexpected feature in this model: if B and B(H) become correlated, then Y will never be a semimartingale, and H can be identified, regardless of its value. This and other results will follow from a detailed statistical analysis of a more general class of processes called mixed semimartingales, which are semiparametric extensions of Y with stochastic volatility in both the martingale and the fractional component. In particular, we derive consistent estimators and feasible central limit theorems for all parameters and processes that can be identified from high-frequency observations. We further show that our estimators achieve optimal rates in a minimax sense.