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购买有风险的成长以及市盈率交易回报的解释

Buying Risky Growth and an Explanation for Returns to Trading on P/E

The Journal of Portfolio Management · 2025
被引 0
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

提出一种在考虑成长风险的前提下购买成长股的方法,通过识别价值增长的合理价格,检验市场对成长股的定价是否恰当,并解释市盈率交易回报的风险来源。

Abstract

Fundamental investors warn about buying growth because growth is risky. This article lays out an approach for buying growth with the warning in mind. It first identifies the value-adding growth for which an investor should pay and then a scheme for identifying how much the market is asking the investor to pay for that growth. That is the price to be challenged: Is the market pricing growth appropriately? The article brings a fundamental analysis to answer that question. With some exceptions, the answer is yes: The market typically discounts expected growth for risk appropriately. The findings come with a caution about buying P/E where value investors see returns. Buying P/E is risky, and the article provides an explanation: P/E ratios imbed expected earnings growth but also the risk to growth. They are discounted for that risk so returns to buying P/E are typically returns to risk.

金融投资资产定价基本面分析