Anchoring bias in the NFL gambling market
研究了NFL博彩市场中锚定偏差的影响，发现赛季前的超级碗赔率会持续影响投注者和博彩公司的行为，且博彩公司未利用投注者的偏差获利。
• We present the first of evidence of an anchoring bias in sports betting markets. • Pre-season Super Bowl odds impact bettor behaviors not only in early weeks of seasons but throughout in NFL betting markets. • Sportsbooks continue to incorporate pre-season odds into their closing lines throughout the entire season. • Bettors and sportsbooks are both subject to anchoring bias in NFL betting markets. We explore the impact of the anchoring bias in the NFL betting market to overcome limitations within the financial literature regarding investor behavior. Consistent with an anchoring bias, we find that bettors prefer to bet on teams with better pre-season Super Bowl odds throughout the entire season. Importantly, we document that there is a significant relationship with profitability and pre-season odds in weeks two through eight of the NFL season, suggesting that sportsbooks do not take advantage of gamblers’ biases. Additionally, we provide evidence that sportsbooks continue to incorporate pre-season odds into their closing lines throughout the entire season, suggesting they may anchor to pre-season odds themselves. Our findings offer novel insights into anchoring behavior with important implications for understanding biases in financial markets.