非老年成年人医疗补助扩展与心血管疾病:效率与公平

Medicaid Expansion Among Nonelderly Adults and Cardiovascular Disease: Efficiency Vs. Equity

Milbank Quarterly · 2025
被引 1
ABS 3

中文导读

研究评估了医疗补助扩展对心血管疾病的影响,发现其降低了发病率,在成本效果和健康公平方面有积极作用,但存在较大不确定性。

Abstract

Policy Points Evidence suggests Medicaid expansion has improved cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes, especially among those of lower socioeconomic status. However, less is known about the cost-effectiveness of Medicaid in achieving these outcomes and reducing CVD disparities. We found that Medicaid expansion resulted in a reduction in CVD incidence, suggesting that it was cost-effective in reducing CVD outcomes and equity enhancing but with a high degree of uncertainty. Policymakers will need to trade-off among a number of different factors in consideration of the value of Medicaid including health (especially in treating the chronically ill), financial protection, reduced uncompensated care, and health disparities. CONTEXT: Evidence suggests Medicaid expansion has improved cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes, especially among those of lower socioeconomic status. However, less is known about the cost-effectiveness of Medicaid in achieving these outcomes and reducing CVD disparities. We use distributional cost-effectiveness analysis methods to examine the efficiency and equitability of Medicaid expansion in reducing CVD outcomes. METHODS: A Monte Carlo Markov-chain microsimulation model was developed to examine lifetime changes in CVD outcomes and disparities as a result of expansion and the associated cost and quality-of-life impacts. FINDINGS: Medicaid expansion was associated with a reduction of 11 myocardial infarctions, eight strokes, and four CVD deaths per 100,000 person-years compared with no expansion. The largest reductions occurred for those with lower income and education, and those of Black and Hispanic race/ethnicity. We found that the benefits of expansion generally balanced out the costs while redistributing health from higher to lower income groups. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, we found-using a health opportunity cost threshold of $150,000-that Medicaid expansion was cost-effective in reducing CVD outcomes 53% of the time and both cost-effective (efficient) and equity enhancing 26% to 29% of the time. CONCLUSIONS: Medicaid expansion resulted in a reduction in CVD incidence, suggesting that it was both cost-effective and equity enhancing in reducing CVD outcomes but with a high degree of uncertainty.

医疗补助心血管疾病卫生经济学健康公平成本效果分析