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无条件现金转移与选民投票率

Unconditional cash transfers & voter turnout

Economic Inquiry · 2025
被引 2
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

利用阿拉斯加永久基金分红这一大规模自然实验,研究发现选举前一个月发放的现金支票金额越大,选民投票率越高,尤其是州长选举中现金增加10%(190美元)使投票率提高1.4个百分点,效果集中在年轻和低收入群体,机制是降低了选民冷漠。

Abstract

Abstract We estimate the effect of unconditional cash transfers on voter turnout, leveraging a large‐scale natural experiment, the Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD) program, which has provided residents with a check of varying size 1 month before election day since 1982. We find that larger transfers cause people to vote, especially in gubernatorial elections in which a 10% increase in cash ($190) causes a 1.4 percentage point increase in turnout. Effects are concentrated among the young and poor. Survey data suggests the mechanism is reduced voter apathy. Implications are discussed.

政治经济学行为经济学公共政策选举研究